Michigan
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 84.2373Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 34-17 906 A Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 13-24 913 H Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 63- 3 920 A Nebraska B10 ( 7- 6, 78.3) 30-27 1004 H Wisconsin B10 ( 4- 8, 77.2) 24-10 1011 A USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 13-31 1018 H Washington B10 ( 8- 4, 85.6) 24- 7 1025 A Michigan St B10 ( 4- 8, 74.1) 31-20 1101 H Purdue B10 ( 2-10, 72.3) 21-16 1115 A Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 24-22 1122 A Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 74.8) 45-20 1129 H Ohio St B10 (12- 2, 97.9) 9-27 101 N Texas SEC (10- 3, 89.8) 27-41
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H New Mexico 34-17 17 12 + 2.01
906 A Oklahoma 13-24 -11 -8 - -2.63
913 H Cen Michigan 63- 3 60 17 0.00
920 A Nebraska 30-27 3 1 + 2.31
1004 H Wisconsin 24-10 14 12 1.75
1011 A USC 13-31 -18 -9 -- -5.44
1018 H Washington 24- 7 17 4 +++ 10.15
1025 A Michigan St 31-20 11 5 +++ 6.16
1101 H Purdue 21-16 5 17 --- -9.00
1115 A Northwestern 24-22 2 0 + 2.17
1122 A Maryland 45-20 25 4 +++ 9.80
1129 H Ohio St 9-27 -18 -8 -- -5.60
101 N Texas 27-41 -14 -6 --- -8.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 H Purdue 21-16 5 17 --- -9.00 101 N Texas 27-41 -14 -6 --- -8.47 1011 A USC 13-31 -18 -9 -- -5.44 1129 H Ohio St 9-27 -18 -8 -- -5.60 906 A Oklahoma 13-24 -11 -8 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Washington 24- 7 17 4 +++ 10.15 1025 A Michigan St 31-20 11 5 +++ 6.16 1122 A Maryland 45-20 25 4 +++ 9.80 830 H New Mexico 34-17 17 12 + 2.01 920 A Nebraska 30-27 3 1 + 2.31 1115 A Northwestern 24-22 2 0 + 2.17 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 34-17 -22.39 28.83 -5.26 0.98 46.23
3 A Oklahoma (10- 3, 87.3) 13-24 -12.56 38.66 5.26 0.98 -3.58
3 H Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 63- 3 -27.29 23.93 -5.26 0.98 36.62
3 A Nebraska ( 7- 6, 78.3) 30-27 -21.62 29.60 5.26 0.98 68.39
3 H Wisconsin ( 4- 8, 77.2) 24-10 -22.65 28.56 -5.26 0.98 45.71
3 A USC ( 9- 4, 87.5) 13-31 -12.37 38.85 5.26 0.98 -3.49
3 H Washington ( 8- 4, 85.6) 24- 7 -14.26 36.96 -5.26 0.98 62.19
3 A Michigan St ( 4- 8, 74.1) 31-20 -25.76 25.46 5.26 0.98 60.25
3 H Purdue ( 2-10, 72.3) 21-16 -27.59 23.63 -5.26 0.98 36.03
3 A Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 24-22 -20.75 30.47 5.26 0.98 70.08
3 A Maryland ( 4- 8, 74.8) 45-20 -25.12 26.10 5.26 0.98 61.50
3 H Ohio St (12- 2, 97.9) 9-27 -2.01 49.21 -5.26 0.98 -3.56
3 N Texas (10- 3, 89.8) 27-41 -10.13 41.09 -0.00 0.98 -4.97
------
471.41
|
winning pts = 487.0034 losing points = -15.5957
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------